Blue Jays Spring Training Thoughts

Several thoughts (and as a warning, this post will likely show once and for all why my dream job is the General Manager of the Blue Jays):

1) Casey Janssen done for the year. Janssen was in the running for the 5th starter job with the Jays, and had long been the preferred choice for that job (from this corner, anyways). An ERA+ of 190 last year? Very nice. Moving him into the rotation and getting 180+ innings of that type of production would have been fantastic (as a frame of reference, Roy Halladay's Cy Young year ERA+ was 145).

Regardless, this does help to explain the rather curious Armando Benitez signing of yesterday. Anytime you have a reliever with a significantly better than 1 K per 1 IP average, you've got a potential gold mine on your hands. And he's cheap, with no risk. Even without Janssen, the bullpen should be okay.

The biggest problem as far as I can tell is that now Jesse Litsch is essentially guaranteed to win the 5th starter's job out of Spring Training (especially after Gustavo Chacin stunk up the joint yesterday). I have nothing against Litsch, but he doesn't strike anyone out, and after him we now have very little depth (except for Chacin, who doesn't scare anyone). Riccardi says he might be after another starter, and I don't blame him. Litsch would likely be better to start the season at AAA and use a veteran stop-gap for the time being. This may be partially dealt with by the following point:

2) Reed Johnson vs. Shannon Stewart for the RH part of the LF platoon (the other part being Matt Stairs). I thought as soon as the Jays made this signing that the writing was probably on the wall for Johnson, and now rumour has it that he might be on his way to the Mets (likely in exchange for either prospects or a possible pitching option). Johnson, 2006 numbers aside, has always been a 4th OF, and I really think that 2006 was an outlier for Johnson and Stewart will outproduce him this year.

If the Jays can move Johnson for some SP help or even organization depth to save a bit of cash, that seems to me like the best option. Johnson would likely have been gone at the end of this year anyways (as Adam Lind is knocking on the door), so why not move him now while he has some value and you can get something for him? Stewart will likely provide comparable numbers at a cheaper cost, and very well could outproduce Johnson.

3) BJ Ryan back already. I'm not sure how I feel about this. It's only been 10 months or so since the surgery, and it is generally a 12-16 month recovery period. I really hope he's actually ready to go, because if he's not, that's going to mean major further setbacks, which doesn't bode well for the bullpen. That Benitez signing is looking better by the day.